Who Are You Trying to Fool?
Everybody can believe that he or she is the best driver in the world and be correct — if everybody gets their own definition of what good driving means.
View ArticleOptimism and Nuclear War
We choose our leaders in part because of their confidence and their optimism. We should worry what that might get us.
View ArticleWhy You Should Be Worried About Underconfidence
Underconfidence denies us the successes we would have enjoyed had we only dared to try.
View ArticleIllusions of Control
We tend to overestimate control when we have very little of it, but underestimate control when we have a lot of it.
View ArticleAre You at Risk of Misplacing Yourself?
We get ourselves into trouble by falsely believing we are better than others. Or falsely believing we're worse. Here's what to do instead.
View ArticleSticking With It
Parents, coaches, and teachers encourage persistence. How persistent should you be?
View ArticleYou Can Handle the Truth: How Confident Should You Be?
Overconfidence and underconfidence are both errors in thinking.
View ArticleAre Economic Forecasts Overconfident?
If economic forecasts are optimistic, they may have misled our fiscal and monetary policies. Are they?
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